The consequences of the involvement of the foreign factor in forming a parliamentary majority in Moldova will be also determined by the foreign factor. Those from the outside will generate the context in which changes will occur. The return to normality in Moldovan politics will first of all take place owing to the re-awakening of the United States and activation of the two neighbors – Romania and Ukraine, which will try to change the political context in our country because the existing status-quo most probably does not suit them and is detrimental to the interests of the foreign partners in the medium and long terms, political commentator Corneliu Ciurea stated in a public debate entitled “Peaceful transfer of power: reasons, conditions and consequences – the foreign factor” staged by IPN News Agency and Radio Moldova.
“The merit for this twist at political level belongs practically exclusively to the foreign factor and, without this tripartite consensus, the Democratic Party would have remained in power. It should be noted that this situation is due to the foreign factor,” stated Corneliu Ciurea. According to him, the current tendencies point to the accentuation of the cooperation between Russia and Germany. This is noticeable also in the Republic of Moldova and this cooperation will be based on the federalization of the Republic of Moldova, which will accentuate the contradictions inside the country. Consequently, the internal political players will have to react to these events.
The commentator noted that the Socialist would benefit from Russia’s support and from tacit support from Germany and would try to obtain a majority, possibly even in the current Parliament. At the same time, they would look for allies, including in the current legislature, and the Party “Dignify and Truth Platform” could naturally be the Socialists’ ally on the right segment.
In such conditions, the Party “Action and Solidarity” would probably try to save its pro-Western identity and would look for partners with which to form a coalition. “In such conditions, the PDM at the first stage would become weaker, but would have to endure a painful reform process so as to become acceptable to the pro-Western partners and to return to the forefront of the political arena in a coalition with the PAS or with someone else for stopping this offensive on the Eastern front and those plans to federalize country,” stated Corneliu Ciurea.
He also said that there are two camps in the Republic of Moldova that look at things in a different way. One is the geopolitical camp that places the political confrontations in a geopolitical context of confrontation of the great powers. There is also the camp of those who see everything through the angle of the rule of law, the struggle against corruption – as a fundamental priority. But geopolitics is something that hampers the natural development of things and the modernization of the country. “Surely, I said that I’m the supporter of geopolitics as a driving force of things in the country and we should admit from the start that those who have supported the supremacy of geopolitics in the recent past experienced a kind of general confusion as, at a certain moment, they ascertained a situation of abnormality in the Moldovan politics, an annulment of geopolitics in favor of this approach to liquidate oligarchy, to get rid of the ‘nasty regime’, to establish the so-called rule of law,” he noted.
According to the commentator, what happened in the Republic of Moldova is an abnormal situation from political viewpoint, an exception that cannot last long and that should be explained. “It is evident that we experience an unordinary situation that will be overcome soon and we will ultimately return to normality, when the geopolitical rivalries will return to the forefront and the other priorities concerning the rule of law will move to the second place, as it is normal in such a thinking scheme,” said Corneliu Ciurea. He noted the fundamental question is how this tripartite agreement between the great powers was reached and everyone know that this took place as a result of the visits paid by the three foreign officials, and why the three big powers – the United States, the European Union and Russia – agreed on the removal of Vlad Plahotniuc and the Democrat Party from power.
The public debate “Peaceful transfer of power: reasons, conditions and consequences – the foreign factor” is the 112th installment of the series of debates “Developing political culture through public debates” that are held with support from the Hanns Seidel Foundation.